高级斐波那契回归策略 - 基于多时间框架分析(调整版)
Timeframe
15m
Direction
Long Only
Stoploss
-5.0%
Trailing Stop
Yes
ROI
0m: 5.0%, 30m: 3.5%, 60m: 2.5%, 120m: 1.5%
Interface Version
3
Startup Candles
N/A
Indicators
5
freqtrade/freqtrade-strategies
Strategy 003 author@: Gerald Lonlas github@: https://github.com/freqtrade/freqtrade-strategies
# pragma pylint: disable=missing-docstring, invalid-name, pointless-string-statement
# flake8: noqa: F401
# isort: skip_file
# --- Do not remove these imports ---
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone
from pandas import DataFrame
from typing import Dict, Optional, Union, Tuple
from freqtrade.strategy import (
IStrategy,
Trade,
Order,
PairLocks,
informative, # @informative decorator
# Hyperopt Parameters
BooleanParameter,
CategoricalParameter,
DecimalParameter,
IntParameter,
RealParameter,
# timeframe helpers
timeframe_to_minutes,
timeframe_to_next_date,
timeframe_to_prev_date,
# Strategy helper functions
merge_informative_pair,
stoploss_from_absolute,
stoploss_from_open,
AnnotationType,
)
# --------------------------------
# Add your lib to import here
import talib.abstract as ta
from technical import qtpylib
class AdvancedFibonacciStrategy(IStrategy):
"""
高级斐波那契回归策略 - 基于多时间框架分析(调整版)
策略特点:
1. 多时间框架斐波那契分析(15m + 1h + 4h)
2. 动态斐波那契周期调整
3. 结合资金费率分析
4. 智能止损和止盈
5. 市场情绪指标确认
6. 放宽条件,增加交易机会
"""
# Strategy interface version
INTERFACE_VERSION = 3
# 策略时间框架 - 15分钟
timeframe = "15m"
# 是否支持做空
can_short: bool = False
# 最小ROI设置 - 更保守的设置
minimal_roi = {
"180": 0.008, # 3小时后0.8%收益
"120": 0.015, # 2小时后1.5%收益
"60": 0.025, # 1小时后2.5%收益
"30": 0.035, # 30分钟后3.5%收益
"0": 0.05 # 立即5%收益
}
# 止损设置
stoploss = -0.05 # 5%止损
# 追踪止损
trailing_stop = True
trailing_stop_positive = 0.015 # 1.5%开始追踪
trailing_stop_positive_offset = 0.025 # 2.5%偏移
trailing_only_offset_is_reached = True
# 只处理新K线
process_only_new_candles = True
# 策略参数
use_exit_signal = True
exit_profit_only = False
ignore_roi_if_entry_signal = False
# 策略启动所需的K线数量
startup_candle_count: int = 100
# 斐波那契策略参数 - 可优化(放宽条件)
fib_period_short = IntParameter(15, 40, default=20, space="buy") # 短期斐波那契周期
fib_period_long = IntParameter(40, 100, default=60, space="buy") # 长期斐波那契周期
rsi_period = IntParameter(10, 30, default=14, space="buy") # RSI周期
rsi_oversold = IntParameter(30, 50, default=45, space="buy") # RSI超卖线(放宽)
rsi_overbought = IntParameter(50, 70, default=55, space="sell") # RSI超买线(放宽)
volume_threshold = DecimalParameter(0.3, 1.5, default=0.8, space="buy") # 成交量倍数(降低)
funding_rate_threshold = DecimalParameter(-0.01, 0.01, default=0.0, space="buy") # 资金费率阈值
fib_tolerance = DecimalParameter(0.02, 0.15, default=0.08, space="buy") # 斐波那契容忍度
# 订单类型
order_types = {
"entry": "limit",
"exit": "limit",
"stoploss": "market",
"stoploss_on_exchange": False
}
# 订单时间
order_time_in_force = {
"entry": "GTC",
"exit": "GTC"
}
@property
def plot_config(self):
return {
"main_plot": {
"fib_0.236": {"color": "red", "type": "line"},
"fib_0.382": {"color": "orange", "type": "line"},
"fib_0.5": {"color": "yellow", "type": "line"},
"fib_0.618": {"color": "green", "type": "line"},
"fib_0.786": {"color": "blue", "type": "line"},
"fib_1h_0.618": {"color": "lightgreen", "type": "line"},
"fib_1h_0.382": {"color": "lightcoral", "type": "line"},
},
"subplots": {
"RSI": {
"rsi": {"color": "purple"},
"rsi_oversold": {"color": "red", "type": "line"},
"rsi_overbought": {"color": "green", "type": "line"},
},
"Volume": {
"volume_ratio": {"color": "blue"},
},
"Funding": {
"funding_rate": {"color": "orange"},
}
}
}
def informative_pairs(self):
"""
定义额外的信息性交易对 - 获取1小时和4小时数据
"""
pairs = self.dp.current_whitelist()
informative_pairs = []
# 为每个交易对添加1小时和4小时数据
for pair in pairs:
informative_pairs.append((pair, "1h")) # 1小时数据用于短期分析
informative_pairs.append((pair, "4h")) # 4小时数据用于长期趋势
# 添加资金费率数据(8小时)
informative_pairs.append((pair, "8h"))
return informative_pairs
@informative("1h")
def populate_indicators_1h(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
"""
计算1小时时间框架的指标
"""
# 短期斐波那契
period_short = self.fib_period_short.value
dataframe["highest_1h"] = dataframe["high"].rolling(window=period_short).max()
dataframe["lowest_1h"] = dataframe["low"].rolling(window=period_short).min()
dataframe["price_range_1h"] = dataframe["highest_1h"] - dataframe["lowest_1h"]
# 1小时斐波那契水平
dataframe["fib_1h_0.618"] = dataframe["highest_1h"] - 0.618 * dataframe["price_range_1h"]
dataframe["fib_1h_0.382"] = dataframe["highest_1h"] - 0.382 * dataframe["price_range_1h"]
# 1小时RSI
dataframe["rsi_1h"] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=self.rsi_period.value)
# 1小时EMA
dataframe["ema_20_1h"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=20)
return dataframe
@informative("4h")
def populate_indicators_4h(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
"""
计算4小时时间框架的指标 - 用于长期趋势分析
"""
# 长期斐波那契
period_long = self.fib_period_long.value
dataframe["highest_4h"] = dataframe["high"].rolling(window=period_long).max()
dataframe["lowest_4h"] = dataframe["low"].rolling(window=period_long).min()
dataframe["price_range_4h"] = dataframe["highest_4h"] - dataframe["lowest_4h"]
# 4小时斐波那契水平
dataframe["fib_4h_0.618"] = dataframe["highest_4h"] - 0.618 * dataframe["price_range_4h"]
dataframe["fib_4h_0.382"] = dataframe["highest_4h"] - 0.382 * dataframe["price_range_4h"]
# 4小时RSI
dataframe["rsi_4h"] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=self.rsi_period.value)
# 4小时EMA
dataframe["ema_50_4h"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=50)
return dataframe
@informative("8h")
def populate_indicators_8h(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
"""
计算8小时时间框架的指标 - 主要用于资金费率分析
"""
# 这里可以添加资金费率相关的分析
# 由于数据结构可能不同,这里先做基础处理
if 'funding_rate' in dataframe.columns:
dataframe["funding_rate_sma"] = dataframe["funding_rate"].rolling(window=3).mean()
else:
dataframe["funding_rate_sma"] = 0
return dataframe
def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
"""
计算主要技术指标
"""
# 合并1小时数据
if self.dp:
inf_1h = self.dp.get_pair_dataframe(pair=metadata['pair'], timeframe='1h')
if not inf_1h.empty:
dataframe = merge_informative_pair(dataframe, inf_1h, self.timeframe, "1h", ffill=True)
# 合并4小时数据
if self.dp:
inf_4h = self.dp.get_pair_dataframe(pair=metadata['pair'], timeframe='4h')
if not inf_4h.empty:
dataframe = merge_informative_pair(dataframe, inf_4h, self.timeframe, "4h", ffill=True)
# 合并8小时数据
if self.dp:
inf_8h = self.dp.get_pair_dataframe(pair=metadata['pair'], timeframe='8h')
if not inf_8h.empty:
dataframe = merge_informative_pair(dataframe, inf_8h, self.timeframe, "8h", ffill=True)
# 计算RSI
dataframe["rsi"] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=self.rsi_period.value)
# 计算长期斐波那契回归水平
period_long = self.fib_period_long.value
dataframe["highest"] = dataframe["high"].rolling(window=period_long).max()
dataframe["lowest"] = dataframe["low"].rolling(window=period_long).min()
dataframe["price_range"] = dataframe["highest"] - dataframe["lowest"]
# 长期斐波那契水平
dataframe["fib_0.236"] = dataframe["highest"] - 0.236 * dataframe["price_range"]
dataframe["fib_0.382"] = dataframe["highest"] - 0.382 * dataframe["price_range"]
dataframe["fib_0.5"] = dataframe["highest"] - 0.5 * dataframe["price_range"]
dataframe["fib_0.618"] = dataframe["highest"] - 0.618 * dataframe["price_range"]
dataframe["fib_0.786"] = dataframe["highest"] - 0.786 * dataframe["price_range"]
# 计算EMA作为趋势确认
dataframe["ema_20"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=20)
dataframe["ema_50"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=50)
dataframe["ema_100"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=100)
# 计算MACD
macd = ta.MACD(dataframe)
dataframe["macd"] = macd["macd"]
dataframe["macdsignal"] = macd["macdsignal"]
dataframe["macdhist"] = macd["macdhist"]
# 计算布林带
bollinger = qtpylib.bollinger_bands(qtpylib.typical_price(dataframe), window=20, stds=2)
dataframe["bb_lowerband"] = bollinger["lower"]
dataframe["bb_middleband"] = bollinger["mid"]
dataframe["bb_upperband"] = bollinger["upper"]
dataframe["bb_percent"] = (
(dataframe["close"] - dataframe["bb_lowerband"]) /
(dataframe["bb_upperband"] - dataframe["bb_lowerband"])
)
# 计算成交量比率
dataframe["volume_sma"] = dataframe["volume"].rolling(window=20).mean()
dataframe["volume_ratio"] = dataframe["volume"] / dataframe["volume_sma"]
# 计算ATR用于动态止损
dataframe["atr"] = ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
# 计算价格动量
dataframe["momentum"] = dataframe["close"] / dataframe["close"].shift(5) - 1
return dataframe
def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
"""
基于多时间框架斐波那契分析的买入信号(放宽条件)
"""
# 基础条件:确保有足够的数据(放宽)
base_conditions = (
(dataframe["volume"] > 0) &
(dataframe["price_range"] > 0) &
(dataframe["highest"].notna()) &
(dataframe["lowest"].notna()) &
(dataframe["volume_ratio"] >= self.volume_threshold.value) # 成交量确认(降低要求)
)
# 斐波那契回归条件(放宽容忍度)
tolerance = self.fib_tolerance.value
fib_conditions = (
# 价格在关键斐波那契支撑位附近(大幅放宽容忍度)
(
# 接近0.618斐波那契位(主要支撑)
((dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["fib_0.618"] * (1 + tolerance)) &
(dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["fib_0.618"] * (1 - tolerance))) |
# 或者接近0.786斐波那契位(强支撑)
((dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["fib_0.786"] * (1 + tolerance)) &
(dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["fib_0.786"] * (1 - tolerance))) |
# 或者接近0.5斐波那契位(中等支撑)
((dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["fib_0.5"] * (1 + tolerance)) &
(dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["fib_0.5"] * (1 - tolerance)))
)
)
# RSI条件(放宽)
rsi_conditions = (
(dataframe["rsi"] <= self.rsi_oversold.value) # 移除RSI上升要求
)
# 趋势确认条件(简化)
trend_conditions = (
(dataframe["close"] > dataframe["ema_20"]) # 只要求价格在EMA20之上
)
# 多时间框架确认(可选)
multi_timeframe_conditions = True
if "fib_1h_0.618" in dataframe.columns:
multi_timeframe_conditions = (
# 1小时时间框架也显示支撑(放宽条件)
(dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["fib_1h_0.618"] * (1 - tolerance)) |
(dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["fib_1h_0.618"] * (1 + tolerance)) |
True # 如果1小时数据不可用,仍然允许交易
)
# 资金费率条件(可选)
funding_conditions = True
if "funding_rate_sma_8h" in dataframe.columns:
funding_conditions = (
dataframe["funding_rate_sma_8h"] <= self.funding_rate_threshold.value
)
# 综合买入条件(简化逻辑)
dataframe.loc[
base_conditions &
fib_conditions &
rsi_conditions &
trend_conditions &
multi_timeframe_conditions &
funding_conditions,
"enter_long"
] = 1
return dataframe
def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
"""
基于多时间框架斐波那契分析的卖出信号(放宽条件)
"""
# 基础条件
base_conditions = (
(dataframe["volume"] > 0) &
(dataframe["price_range"] > 0) &
(dataframe["highest"].notna()) &
(dataframe["lowest"].notna())
)
# 斐波那契阻力条件(放宽容忍度)
tolerance = self.fib_tolerance.value
fib_conditions = (
# 价格在关键斐波那契阻力位附近(放宽容忍度)
(
# 接近0.382斐波那契位(主要阻力)
((dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["fib_0.382"] * (1 - tolerance)) &
(dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["fib_0.382"] * (1 + tolerance))) |
# 或者接近0.236斐波那契位(强阻力)
((dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["fib_0.236"] * (1 - tolerance)) &
(dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["fib_0.236"] * (1 + tolerance))) |
# 或者接近0.5斐波那契位(中等阻力)
((dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["fib_0.5"] * (1 - tolerance)) &
(dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["fib_0.5"] * (1 + tolerance)))
)
)
# RSI条件(放宽)
rsi_conditions = (
(dataframe["rsi"] >= self.rsi_overbought.value) # 移除RSI下降要求
)
# 趋势确认条件(简化)
trend_conditions = (
(dataframe["close"] < dataframe["bb_upperband"]) # 只要求价格不在布林带上轨之上
)
# 多时间框架确认(可选)
multi_timeframe_conditions = True
if "fib_1h_0.382" in dataframe.columns:
multi_timeframe_conditions = (
# 1小时时间框架也显示阻力(放宽条件)
(dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["fib_1h_0.382"] * (1 - tolerance)) |
(dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["fib_1h_0.382"] * (1 + tolerance)) |
True # 如果1小时数据不可用,仍然允许交易
)
# 综合卖出条件(简化逻辑)
dataframe.loc[
base_conditions &
fib_conditions &
rsi_conditions &
trend_conditions &
multi_timeframe_conditions,
"exit_long"
] = 1
return dataframe
def custom_stoploss(self, pair: str, trade: 'Trade', current_time: datetime,
current_rate: float, current_profit: float, **kwargs) -> float:
"""
智能动态止损逻辑
"""
dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair, self.timeframe)
if len(dataframe) == 0:
return self.stoploss
last_candle = dataframe.iloc[-1].squeeze()
# 基于ATR的动态止损
atr = last_candle.get("atr", 0)
if atr > 0:
# 使用2倍ATR作为止损距离
atr_stoploss = -2 * atr / current_rate
if atr_stoploss > self.stoploss:
return atr_stoploss
# 基于斐波那契水平的止损调整
if current_rate <= last_candle.get("fib_0.786", 0):
return -0.03 # 3%止损(强支撑位跌破)
if current_rate >= last_candle.get("fib_0.5", 0):
return -0.01 # 1%止损(接近保本)
# 基于盈利情况的止损调整
if current_profit > 0.03: # 盈利超过3%
return -0.01 # 保本止损
elif current_profit > 0.02: # 盈利超过2%
return -0.02 # 2%止损
return self.stoploss
def custom_exit(self, pair: str, trade: 'Trade', current_time: datetime, current_rate: float,
current_profit: float, **kwargs) -> Optional[Union[str, bool]]:
"""
自定义退出逻辑
"""
dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair, self.timeframe)
if len(dataframe) == 0:
return None
last_candle = dataframe.iloc[-1].squeeze()
# 如果价格突破0.236斐波那契位且盈利良好,考虑部分止盈
if (current_rate >= last_candle.get("fib_0.236", 0) and
current_profit > 0.02):
return "fib_resistance_exit"
# 如果RSI极度超买且盈利,考虑退出
if (last_candle.get("rsi", 50) > 80 and
current_profit > 0.015):
return "rsi_extreme_exit"
return None