BTC short-only bear-market research strategy.
Timeframe
15m
Direction
Long & Short
Stoploss
-6.0%
Trailing Stop
Yes
ROI
0m: 5.0%, 180m: 2.6%, 540m: 0.0%
Interface Version
3
Startup Candles
420
Indicators
5
freqtrade/freqtrade-strategies
Strategy 003 author@: Gerald Lonlas github@: https://github.com/freqtrade/freqtrade-strategies
from datetime import datetime
from pandas import DataFrame
import talib.abstract as ta
from freqtrade.strategy import DecimalParameter, IStrategy, IntParameter, informative
class BtcBearMarketShortV3(IStrategy):
"""BTC short-only bear-market research strategy.
Two setups share the same priority: avoid trading unless higher timeframes
are already bearish. This is a research strategy, not the active dry-run bot.
"""
INTERFACE_VERSION = 3
can_short = True
timeframe = "15m"
startup_candle_count = 420
process_only_new_candles = True
position_adjustment_enable = False
max_entry_position_adjustment = 0
minimal_roi = {
"0": 0.050,
"180": 0.026,
"540": 0.0,
}
stoploss = -0.060
trailing_stop = True
trailing_stop_positive = 0.014
trailing_stop_positive_offset = 0.036
trailing_only_offset_is_reached = True
use_exit_signal = True
exit_profit_only = False
ignore_roi_if_entry_signal = False
volume_breakdown_factor = DecimalParameter(0.8, 1.8, default=1.20, decimals=2, space="buy", optimize=False)
max_candle_range_atr = DecimalParameter(1.5, 3.5, default=2.5, decimals=1, space="buy", optimize=False)
atr_pct_min = DecimalParameter(0.001, 0.010, default=0.0025, decimals=4, space="buy", optimize=False)
rally_rsi_1h_min = IntParameter(40, 52, default=45, space="buy", optimize=False)
rally_rsi_1h_max = IntParameter(55, 70, default=65, space="buy", optimize=False)
min_1h_rsi_not_oversold = IntParameter(24, 38, default=30, space="buy", optimize=False)
min_4h_rsi_not_oversold = IntParameter(22, 38, default=28, space="buy", optimize=False)
wick_body_factor = DecimalParameter(0.8, 2.0, default=1.2, decimals=1, space="buy", optimize=False)
atr_stop_mult = DecimalParameter(1.0, 2.5, default=1.5, decimals=1, space="sell", optimize=False)
profit_take_rsi = IntParameter(18, 32, default=25, space="sell", optimize=False)
@property
def protections(self) -> list[dict]:
return [
{"method": "CooldownPeriod", "stop_duration_candles": 4},
{
"method": "StoplossGuard",
"lookback_period_candles": 96,
"trade_limit": 2,
"stop_duration_candles": 24,
"required_profit": 0.0,
"only_per_pair": False,
"only_per_side": True,
},
{
"method": "MaxDrawdown",
"calculation_mode": "equity",
"lookback_period_candles": 192,
"trade_limit": 8,
"stop_duration_candles": 32,
"max_allowed_drawdown": 0.08,
},
]
@staticmethod
def _is_btc_pair(pair: str) -> bool:
return pair.upper().startswith("BTC/")
@informative("1h")
def populate_indicators_1h(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
dataframe["ema_20"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=20)
dataframe["ema_50"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=50)
dataframe["ema_100"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=100)
dataframe["ema_200"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=200)
dataframe["rsi"] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["atr"] = ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["plus_di"] = ta.PLUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["minus_di"] = ta.MINUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
return dataframe
@informative("4h")
def populate_indicators_4h(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
dataframe["ema_50"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=50)
dataframe["ema_200"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=200)
dataframe["rsi"] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["atr"] = ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["plus_di"] = ta.PLUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["minus_di"] = ta.MINUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["ema_50_slope"] = dataframe["ema_50"] - dataframe["ema_50"].shift(4)
return dataframe
@informative("1d")
def populate_indicators_1d(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
dataframe["ema_50"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=50)
dataframe["ema_200"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=200)
dataframe["rsi"] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["atr"] = ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["plus_di"] = ta.PLUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["minus_di"] = ta.MINUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["ema_50_slope"] = dataframe["ema_50"] - dataframe["ema_50"].shift(5)
return dataframe
def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
dataframe["ema_20"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=20)
dataframe["ema_50"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=50)
dataframe["ema_200"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=200)
dataframe["rsi"] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["atr"] = ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["plus_di"] = ta.PLUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["minus_di"] = ta.MINUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
dataframe["volume_mean_20"] = dataframe["volume"].rolling(20, min_periods=20).mean()
dataframe["donchian_low_20"] = dataframe["low"].rolling(20, min_periods=20).min().shift(1)
bollinger = ta.BBANDS(dataframe, timeperiod=20, nbdevup=2.0, nbdevdn=2.0)
dataframe["bb_upper"] = bollinger["upperband"]
dataframe["bb_middle"] = bollinger["middleband"]
dataframe["bb_lower"] = bollinger["lowerband"]
dataframe["atr_pct"] = dataframe["atr"] / dataframe["close"]
dataframe["range_atr"] = (dataframe["high"] - dataframe["low"]) / dataframe["atr"]
dataframe["body"] = (dataframe["close"] - dataframe["open"]).abs()
dataframe["upper_wick"] = dataframe["high"] - dataframe[["open", "close"]].max(axis=1)
dataframe["bearish_engulfing"] = (
(dataframe["close"] < dataframe["open"])
& (dataframe["close"].shift(1) > dataframe["open"].shift(1))
& (dataframe["open"] >= dataframe["close"].shift(1))
& (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["open"].shift(1))
)
return dataframe
def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
dataframe["enter_long"] = 0
dataframe["enter_short"] = 0
if not self._is_btc_pair(metadata["pair"]):
return dataframe
daily_bear = (
(dataframe["close_1d"] < dataframe["ema_200_1d"])
| (dataframe["ema_50_1d"] < dataframe["ema_200_1d"])
)
four_h_bear = (
(dataframe["ema_50_4h"] < dataframe["ema_200_4h"])
& (dataframe["close_4h"] < dataframe["ema_50_4h"])
& (dataframe["rsi_4h"] > self.min_4h_rsi_not_oversold.value)
)
one_h_breakdown_ready = (
(dataframe["ema_20_1h"] < dataframe["ema_50_1h"])
& (dataframe["rsi_1h"] < 50)
& (dataframe["rsi_1h"] > self.min_1h_rsi_not_oversold.value)
)
not_panic_candle = (
(dataframe["atr"] > 0)
& (dataframe["atr_pct"] >= self.atr_pct_min.value)
& (dataframe["range_atr"] <= self.max_candle_range_atr.value)
)
volume_breakdown_ok = (
(dataframe["volume"] > 0)
& (dataframe["volume_mean_20"] > 0)
& (dataframe["volume"] > dataframe["volume_mean_20"] * self.volume_breakdown_factor.value)
)
breakdown = (
daily_bear
& four_h_bear
& one_h_breakdown_ready
& not_panic_candle
& volume_breakdown_ok
& (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["donchian_low_20"])
& (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["open"])
)
rally_regime = (
(dataframe["close_4h"] < dataframe["ema_200_4h"])
& (dataframe["ema_50_4h"] < dataframe["ema_200_4h"])
& (dataframe["close_1h"] < dataframe["ema_100_1h"])
& (dataframe["rsi_1h"] >= self.rally_rsi_1h_min.value)
& (dataframe["rsi_1h"] <= self.rally_rsi_1h_max.value)
)
bb_touch_recent = (
(dataframe["high"] >= dataframe["bb_upper"])
| (dataframe["high"].shift(1) >= dataframe["bb_upper"].shift(1))
)
ema20_reclaim_failed = (
(dataframe["close"] < dataframe["ema_20"])
& (
(dataframe["close"].shift(1) >= dataframe["ema_20"].shift(1))
| bb_touch_recent
)
)
rejection_candle = (
(dataframe["upper_wick"] > dataframe["body"].clip(lower=dataframe["atr"] * 0.05) * self.wick_body_factor.value)
| dataframe["bearish_engulfing"]
)
bear_rally_rejection = (
rally_regime
& not_panic_candle
& bb_touch_recent
& ema20_reclaim_failed
& rejection_candle
)
dataframe.loc[breakdown, ["enter_short", "enter_tag"]] = (1, "v3_breakdown_continuation")
dataframe.loc[bear_rally_rejection, ["enter_short", "enter_tag"]] = (1, "v3_bear_rally_rejection")
return dataframe
def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
dataframe["exit_long"] = 0
dataframe["exit_short"] = 0
return dataframe
def custom_exit(
self,
pair: str,
trade,
current_time: datetime,
current_rate: float,
current_profit: float,
**kwargs,
) -> str | bool | None:
if not self.dp:
return None
dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair, self.timeframe)
if len(dataframe) < 2 or not trade.is_short:
return None
candle = dataframe.iloc[-1]
previous = dataframe.iloc[-2]
atr_stop_rate = trade.open_rate + candle["atr"] * self.atr_stop_mult.value
if current_rate > atr_stop_rate:
return "v3_atr_invalidation"
if current_profit > 0 and current_rate > candle["ema_20"]:
return "v3_profit_ema20_reclaim"
if candle["close_1h"] > candle["ema_50_1h"]:
return "v3_1h_ema50_reclaim"
momentum_slowing = (candle["rsi"] > previous["rsi"]) or (candle["close"] > previous["close"])
if current_profit > 0.012 and candle["rsi"] < self.profit_take_rsi.value and momentum_slowing:
return "v3_oversold_momentum_slow"
return None
def leverage(
self,
pair: str,
current_time: datetime,
current_rate: float,
proposed_leverage: float,
max_leverage: float,
entry_tag: str | None,
side: str,
**kwargs,
) -> float:
return 1.0
class BtcBearMarketShortV3RallyOnly(BtcBearMarketShortV3):
"""Research variant: keep only the bear-rally rejection setup.
The full V3 backtest showed that breakdown continuation was destructive.
This variant isolates the more promising setup instead of tuning both at
once.
"""
def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
dataframe = super().populate_entry_trend(dataframe, metadata)
dataframe.loc[dataframe["enter_tag"] != "v3_bear_rally_rejection", "enter_short"] = 0
return dataframe